Published October 12, 2026 in Market Update

More homes are moving in Primary market even with rates above 7%

By Leatha Eaves
Real estate, Primary market

Here is the one thing every homeowner should see right now. Freddie Mac put the 30-year fixed rate at 7.40% as of October 8, 2026. Rates that high usually make people pause. But the Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 2,130 homes sold and 2,447 pending sales across Primary market in the three months ending August 31, 2026. Buyers are still moving. That means your timing and your price still matter.

"But aren't rates killing demand?" Fair question. Honestly. Rates are high. The pipeline tells a different story, though. Nearly 2,500 homes were under contract at the end of August. That is not a frozen market.

The rate picture, as of October 12, 2026

Mortgage rates, week of October 8, 2026
30-year fixed
Freddie Mac
15-year fixed
Freddie Mac
Source: Freddie Mac, read Oct 11, 2026

Rates are real. Freddie Mac confirmed the 30-year average at 7.40% on October 8, 2026. That is the context every seller and buyer is working inside right now. And yet, the Real Estate Data Aggregator shows 2,837 new listings came to market in Primary market in the same three-month window. Sellers are listing. Buyers are responding.

What the market looked like, ZIP by ZIP

Not every ZIP code tells the same story. Some moved faster. Some sat longer. A few saw prices dip a little. That is normal in a market this size.

Median days on market by ZIP, three months ending August 31, 2026
  1. 13741024 days
  2. 23740630 days
  3. 33741234 days
  4. 43741937 days
  5. 53741638 days
  6. 63740542 days
  7. 73742144 days
  8. 83073645 days
Real Estate Data Aggregator. Lower is faster.

ZIP 37343 had a median of 33 days on market, per the Real Estate Data Aggregator. That was 10 days shorter than the same period in 2025. ZIP 37302 sat at 69 days, but that was actually 24 days shorter than a year before. Progress looks different depending on where you start.

Where prices landed

Median sale price by ZIP, three months ending August 31, 2026
37419$497,00037405$497,00037363$455,38037302$437,50037421$377,50037410$360,40037341$359,50037343$388,000
Real Estate Data Aggregator. Eight ZIPs shown for readability.
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026

Some prices moved up. ZIP 37341 saw its median climb to $359,500, up 8.1% from a year before, per the Real Estate Data Aggregator. ZIP 37406 held at $220,000, up 1.8%. Not every ZIP gained, though. ZIP 37302 dipped 17% to $437,500. ZIP 37405 slipped 8.4% to $497,000. Small admissions, real ones. Price still drives the outcome.

Speed: who went under contract fast

The Real Estate Data Aggregator tracked the share of homes that went under contract within two weeks of listing. In ZIP 37406, that share was 38.8%, up 21.6 points from a year before. In ZIP 37411, it was 31%. In ZIP 37343, it was 30.1%. Not every home sold fast, but well-priced homes in the right ZIP codes moved quickly.

Share under contract within 2 weeks, three months ending August 31, 2026
3740638.8%3741131%3734330.1%3741926.8%3736326.5%3740529.8%3741627.5%3742125.6%
Real Estate Data Aggregator. Higher means more homes moved quickly.
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026

What buyers are paying versus list price

The Real Estate Data Aggregator shows ZIP 37419 averaged 100.5% of list price. That means sellers there got more than they asked, on average. ZIP 37363 came in at 98.8%. ZIP 37312 was the softest at 96.1%, down 2.1 points from a year before. Pricing to the market still determines what you walk away with.

Sale-to-list ratio, selected ZIPs, three months ending August 31, 2026
37419 (highest)
Real Estate Data Aggregator
30736
Real Estate Data Aggregator
37421
Real Estate Data Aggregator
37312 (softest)
Real Estate Data Aggregator
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026

The national picture adds context

The National Association of Realtors reported months of supply at 4.9 months nationally, the highest in over ten years. Primary market ZIPs ranged from 2.7 months in ZIP 37343 and ZIP 37410 to 6.2 months in ZIP 37406, per the Real Estate Data Aggregator. More supply means buyers have choices. It also means sellers need a sharper price. The Federal Housing Finance Agency reported U.S. house prices rose 0.3% from the prior month in July, seasonally adjusted. Realtor.com noted active listings were up 6.7% from a year ago as of October 8, 2026. The broader trend and the local count are pointing the same direction: more homes, more competition, and pricing matters more than ever.

Months of supply by ZIP, three months ending August 31, 2026
37343 (tightest)
Real Estate Data Aggregator
37410 (tightest)
Real Estate Data Aggregator
37302
Real Estate Data Aggregator
37406 (most)
Real Estate Data Aggregator
30742
Real Estate Data Aggregator
37411
Real Estate Data Aggregator
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026

The honest summary

In short
  1. Rates are above 7%.
  2. That is true and it is not going away today.
  3. But the Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 2,130 homes sold and 2,447 pending across Primary market in the three months ending August 31, 2026. Buyers are moving.
  4. Some ZIPs are tighter than others.
  5. Some prices dipped a little.
  6. One street can read very differently from the whole ZIP code.
  7. The data tells you what is happening.
  8. Your price and your timing determine what happens to you.

One more thing worth knowing. The story for your specific street may look nothing like the ZIP code average. A block with newer builds, a cul-de-sac with less traffic, a neighborhood with a strong school zone: all of these shift the numbers. The ZIP is the starting point, not the final word.

Your next step

(423) 718-2545

Text me your address and I will send back how long homes like yours are taking to sell in your ZIP, and what they are actually closing for, based on what the Real Estate Data Aggregator counted in the three months ending August 31, 2026. Takes a day, costs nothing.

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Where these numbers came from
Leatha Eaves
(423) 718-2545
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Leatha Eaves is a licensed real estate agent. Market numbers come from MLS records and are believed accurate but not guaranteed. Nothing on this site is an appraisal or a promise of value. If your home is already listed with another broker, this is not a solicitation.
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